Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.516820 2.913589 3.361080 3.904831 4.549915 5.293490 6.219401
2025-02-23 1.929198 2.447348 3.095498 3.973225 5.142138 6.661145 8.810453
2025-03-02 1.585495 2.133894 2.867876 3.936363 5.475911 7.650798 11.022326
2025-03-09 1.383671 1.953124 2.758281 4.002340 5.917003 8.821030 13.694204
2025-03-16 1.206889 1.771736 2.607542 3.965177 6.175093 9.738831 16.149715
2025-03-23 1.073379 1.630785 2.489267 3.947197 6.443166 10.699485 18.865307
2025-03-30 0.953616 1.492760 2.352693 3.871601 6.591630 11.469779 21.396193
2025-04-06 0.880156 1.417940 2.305220 3.933646 6.981874 12.729797 25.141803
2025-04-13 0.792119 1.307629 2.183047 3.843494 7.073369 13.437312 27.922954
2025-04-20 0.753914 1.277198 2.193543 3.994173 7.645476 15.193767 33.407362
2025-04-27 0.696579 1.206279 2.122515 3.978425 7.879783 16.290777 37.661200
2025-05-04 0.665724 1.179462 2.128516 4.113174 8.447229 18.219625 44.474367
2025-05-11 0.618423 1.124091 2.087426 4.176237 8.941306 20.257981 52.719642
2025-05-18 0.574994 1.072618 2.050768 4.251955 9.505565 22.679356 63.192933
2025-05-25 0.526097 1.003763 1.968660 4.212076 9.785504 24.459202 72.537578
2025-06-01 0.493178 0.962755 1.938116 4.283300 10.357015 27.186183 86.172758
2025-06-08 0.454915 0.905946 1.865874 4.243182 10.631622 29.162659 98.222047
2025-06-15 0.422591 0.857880 1.806354 4.223774 10.959287 31.403014 112.423388
2025-06-22 0.389445 0.804275 1.727441 4.142183 11.095174 33.095175 125.414162
2025-06-29 0.369438 0.777486 1.706943 4.209147 11.683845 36.471184 147.519166
2025-07-06 0.341332 0.729340 1.629932 4.111851 11.752597 38.092634 162.741597
2025-07-13 0.330636 0.720142 1.645963 4.274483 12.684668 43.167786 198.162784
2025-07-20 0.311131 0.688115 1.601429 4.257483 13.026455 46.145606 224.924542